|The Future does not happen
by accident, it is based on yesterday's actions. This doesn't mean that
it's easy to predict what will happen tomorrow, but it also means that
Tomorrow should not be a total surprise. Even if we can't tell where the
raindrops will fall, it's worth knowing when the Hurricane will hit
land. If we choose to avoid
speculating about the Future, then we are deciding to stand still while
it crashes over us. These articles lobby for both Future
Thinking, and explore both the Future and how we might choose to think
Where do we go Tomorrow?
Where's my Flying Car?
It Did Happen!
The Predictors Paradox
Making Pigs Fly
The Bell Tolls for Telecom
|Truth Pick #096
Take calculated risks.
It boils down to the same thing time and time again. We make choices. No matter the situation, we make choices. None of them certain, each one a risk. Not even a chance to avoid it all, by shutting eyes and standing still in a self made dark, hoping the world will pass us by...
One choice is to rail against the world. Lashing without thought against the unfairness of it all. Moving forward without thinking, crashing upon the indifference of cold hard odds. Each ill-considered attempt will beat us down. Reality is impervious to determination without reason, and luck too nebulous to sustain reasonable hope of success.
Another choice (there are others), is to sift through the risks and steer towards the least adverse.
Calculating the odds requires intelligence and effort. The intelligence we have in abundance... it's the effort we have to make.
(c) 2004 Peter de Jager
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